IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.0	#318
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.8%	24.1%	13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	33.6%	67.0%	33.1%
.500 or above in Conference	71.6%	88.8%	71.3%
Conference Champion	18.5%	35.4%	18.2%
Last Place in Conference	4.8%	1.3%	4.9%

First Four	12.4%	17.7%	12.3%
First Round	7.0%	15.2%	6.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 9	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2019	51	@ Mississippi	L	62-85	2%
Nov 19, 2019	136	@ Bradley	L	60-75	9%
Nov 22, 2019	99	@ Northwestern	L	58-75	6%
Nov 27, 2019	239	@ Monmouth	L	65-74	22%
Dec 01, 2019	315	Niagara	W	78-76	57%
Dec 04, 2019	207	@ Southern Illinois	L	63-73	19%
Dec 07, 2019	245	@ Hampton	L	73-81	23%
Dec 15, 2019	109	@ Loyola Chicago	L	55-72	7%
Dec 20, 2019	108	Bowling Green	L	68-82	12%
Dec 29, 2019	196	@ Stony Brook	L	65-76	18%
Jan 04, 2020	326	Bethune-Cookman	W	76-73	62%
Jan 06, 2020	348	@ Coppin St.	W	73-72	54%
Jan 11, 2020	337	@ Howard	L	76-77	47%
Jan 18, 2020	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	54-45	78%
Jan 25, 2020	323	South Carolina St.	W	75-72	61%
Jan 27, 2020	341	Florida A&M	W	68-62	70%
Feb 01, 2020	325	@ N.C. A&T	L	68-71	41%
Feb 03, 2020	322	@ NC Central	L	66-69	41%
Feb 08, 2020	349	Delaware St.	W	59-51	75%
Feb 15, 2020	329	Morgan St.	W	78-74	62%
Feb 17, 2020	348	Coppin St.	W	76-69	73%
Feb 22, 2020	341	@ Florida A&M	W	66-65	52%
Feb 24, 2020	326	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	73-76	42%
Feb 29, 2020	337	Howard	W	79-74	67%
Mar 02, 2020	349	@ Delaware St.	W	56-54	57%
Mar 05, 2020	329	@ Morgan St.	L	75-77	42%
Projected Record						11 - 15	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.2	1.5	4.2	5.2	4.3	2.4	0.6		18.5	1st
2nd										0.3	2.3	5.2	4.6	1.8	0.3	0.0			14.4	2nd
3rd									0.1	2.0	5.5	3.8	0.9	0.1					12.4	3rd
4th								0.0	1.4	5.2	3.7	0.7	0.0						11.1	4th
5th								0.8	4.3	4.1	0.7	0.0							9.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	3.2	4.1	0.8	0.0								8.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.9	4.1	1.1	0.0									7.4	7th
8th					0.2	1.4	3.0	1.5	0.1										6.1	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	1.1	2.3	1.6	0.1											5.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.1	0.2	0.0											3.9	10th
11th	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0												2.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.8	3.4	5.2	7.1	9.7	11.2	12.4	12.5	11.3	9.7	7.1	4.5	2.4	0.6			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
15-1	99.8%	2.4		2.3	0.1
14-2	94.3%	4.3		3.6	0.6	0.1
13-3	73.7%	5.2		3.3	1.8	0.1	0.0
12-4	43.6%	4.2		1.7	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
11-5	13.4%	1.5		0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
10-6	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	18.5%	18.5		11.7	4.9	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.6%		58.5%	58.5%		15.3										0.0				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3
15-1	2.4%		45.2%	45.2%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3
14-2	4.5%		39.8%	39.8%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.6	2.7
13-3	7.1%		32.1%	32.1%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.2	4.8
12-4	9.7%		26.2%	26.2%		16.0																0.0	2.5	7.1
11-5	11.3%		17.9%	17.9%		16.0																0.0	2.0	9.3
10-6	12.5%		13.5%	13.5%		16.0																	1.7	10.8
9-7	12.4%		8.3%	8.3%		16.0																	1.0	11.3
8-8	11.2%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.5	10.6
7-9	9.7%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	9.4
6-10	7.1%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.0
5-11	5.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
4-12	3.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
3-13	1.8%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
2-14	1.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.8%	13.8%	0.0%	15.9										0.0				0.0	0.1	0.5	13.2	86.2		0.0%